Prediction Markets Favor Chargers in Monday Night Football Showdown

Markets set L.A. at −3.5 with total at 46.5, but public props and expert lines hint Raiders and the Over could be undervalued.

Ever notice how when betting lines move, they’re usually pulling you toward something the public isn’t seeing? That’s exactly what’s happening with tonight’s Chargers vs. Raiders Monday Night Football game. The Chargers are about −3.5 favorites, with totals hovering near 46.5—but sharp money is quietly loading up on the Raiders and the Over.

In other words, the markets are whispering, “This game might be closer than it looks.”

At the time of this writing, Los Angeles is ≈ 3.5-point favorite in tonight’s matchup, with many sportsbooks listing the spread at Chargers −3.5. The Over/Under (total points) is around 46.5, and the moneyline favors the Chargers at approximately −185 to −196, while the Raiders are lumped in as underdogs at +150-+160.

This pricing implies confidence in a Chargers win, but a tightly contested game.

The big three prediction market platforms—Myriad, Polymarket and Kalshi—were all favoring Los Angeles by roughly 65%.

(Disclaimer: Myriad Markets is a product of DASTAN, Decrypt's parent company.)

Several betting media outlets have spotted sharp bettors pushing in favor of the Chargers, and the numbers suggest this isn’t just public hype—it’s serious money behind belief in L.A.’s edge.

Here’s what the split looks like, and what it’s telling us:

Here are some specific props that bettors appear bullish on:

Putting the market’s pieces together, here’s the story that appears to be forming:

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