BTC price lower highs keep Bitcoin bears in control at $70K

2024-07-31 09:43:49 UTC | defi.io/yis

Bitcoin (BTC) is seeing lower highs as sellers foil attempts to crack all-time highs — and traders are now paying attention.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC price drifts in "middle of nowhere"

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows the area around $70,000 firmly dictating the limits of July’s BTC price rebound.

Bitcoin bulls may want nothing more than a rematch with $73,800 all-time highs from March, but since they hit, sellers have maintained control.

Now, traders are increasingly eyeing the phenomenon as it plays out multiple times, sending BTC/USD downhill on each occasion to preserve what is now a five-month trading range.

For popular trader Daan Crypto Trades, this speaks to how much liquidity lies above $70,000.

“Bitcoin with a couple of lower highs in close proximity of each other. Likely for a lot of liquidity to sit above these levels in the form of stop losses/liquidation levels from shorts,” he summarized in part of an X post on July 30.

Like others, Daan Crypto Trades suggested that $72,000 is now the line in the sand for bulls to cross, and also referenced buy-liquidity lying below the spot price. As Cointelegraph reported, analysis sees this coming into play should BTC/USD drop below $64,000.

“Seeing it's also at all time high, I think once we take the June 7th high we'll break all,” the post forecast.

“On the downside we got some wicks around $63K-$63.5K which likely got some long stops below. Basically pretty much in the middle of nowhere here.”
BTC/USD chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

The lower high cycle has also not gone unnoticed by popular trader and analyst Josh Rager.

Echoing Daan Crypto Trades, he told X followers that he is not “interested” in trading the current setup without a firm breakout move.

“Not much has changed here for $BTC,” he concluded about the daily chart since the March highs.

“Get a daily close higher and I'll be interested again.”
BTC/USD chart. Source: Josh Rager/X

A cooler ride to Bitcoin all-time highs?

Others were already suspicious of the strength of Bitcoin’s recent brief spike to the $70,000 mark.

For the pseudonymous trader known as Horse on X, a lack of genuine spot buyer interest placed the longevity of the move in question almost immediately.

“We finally have a breakout of this range, but it is OI, not price,” part of an X post explained, referring to open interest.

Horse argued that opening longs near weekend highs would be “poor,” contrasting the current landscape with what should be a bullish long-term setup for crypto as whole.

"Market depth has shifted unfavorably across the board, but this on its own is non-actionable, as plenty of times we have trended up on negative book delta (0-5%, 5-10% ranges bid/ask depths)," he concluded about order book data.

"This could just mean the ride upward is a bit more melty and grindy before things get slippery higher."

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